Monthly Archives: September 2015

Why “Speaker” McCarthy is a Very Good Idea

The only thing that will keep Kevin McCarthy from becoming the next Speaker of the House is if he doesn’t want the job. For the sake of the Republican Party, let’s hope he does. I’ve known Kevin McCarthy since he first ran for State Assembly in California and have followed his meteoric rise through the Republican ranks. Many climb that ladder by schmoozing and shameless self-promotion. McCarthy has done it by helping his colleagues, literally, one by one.
Most congressmen hate to walk across the street to the National Republican Congressional Committee offices to make fundraising calls for their re-election. It is virtually unheard of for a member to cross that street to help a colleague on the phones, and yet, I have personally witnessed Kevin McCarthy do that on more than one occasion. He became the Republican Leader in the California Assembly by helping new members work their districts and make fundraising calls. He took that same perspective and work ethic with him to Washington.
The result in California was that all those new members he helped were anxious to make him leader because he was the one person who had taken the time and energy to help. A lot of incoming congressmen have had that same experience, and given the opportunity, will select him as their next leader. If Kevin McCarthy accepts that role, the “Freedom Caucus” will come in from the cold and consequently, both the national conversation and the policy trajectory in Congress will change. The GOP desperately needs for both of those things to happen, and soon.
Most ideological conservatives are used to fighting cultural rear guard actions, or engaging in ad hoc battles entered into with little thought as to their […]

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    Bernie Sanders leads Caitlyn Jenner almost 4 to 1 in new poll!

Bernie Sanders leads Caitlyn Jenner almost 4 to 1 in new poll!

(Or, “Why presidential polls are entertainment, not news.”)

Last week, using Google’s new polling software, we asked 400 people “eligible to vote in 2016” how they would vote, if the choice came down to either Democrat Bernie Sanders or Republican Caitlyn Jenner. It was just for fun, but since Echelon Insights released their numbers today of the Trump-Kanye match-up, we decided to share our silly season numbers, as well. We’ve all got to get this out of our system before Labor Day. So…more than half of those Americans we polled (53%) said, if given the Berne-Kaitlin choice, they were decidedly Undecided.

Against a formidable candidate like Caitlyn Jenner, Senator Sanders was unable to crack 40% support. And what does it say about Americans that less than 10% of them were willing to vote for someone with the courage to have gender reassignment surgery?

Well, it actually says nothing about Americans, per se, but a whole lot about what passes for news these days. The Fox News decision to let polls drive the debate bus was too much for the Marist Poll, which announced they would suspend polling prior to the Fox debates lest they play an unwitting role in the farce. (See Lee Miringoff’s devastatingly funny analysis here http://maristpoll.marist.edu/528-top-10-reasons-why-polls-should-not-be-used-to-determine-eligibility-for-debates/ )

But enough about the well-respected Marist Poll and back to the game changer that the stunning Sanders-Jenner matchup promises to be. After all, it has all the ingredients. We’ve got the surging campaign of Senator Sanders who if he wins can, at long last, end this crazy Vietnam War. And we’ve got Caitlyn Jenner, who is married to a Kardashian.

So, why isn’t this survey (and dozens like it) important?

Aside from the fact that not even in some alternate […]